The primary focus of the US Midterm Elections held on the 3rd is whether the Republican Party can maintain its majority in the federal Senate and House of Representatives. Depending on the results, President Trump’s second-term governance and the balance of congressional power could significantly shift.
According to the political analysis firm Cook Political Report, out of 435 federal House districts, 18 are ultra-tight races, and including districts where one side holds a narrow lead, the total reaches 54. Even if the Democratic Party recaptures the House, projections suggest that the seat margin between the two parties may remain narrow.
In the Senate, Democrats must secure victories in Republican-leaning areas like Texas while defending existing seats such as Michigan to claim a majority.
In Los Angeles, attention is focused on the showdown between Mayor Karen Bass and City Councilwoman Nithya Raman. A poll released on the 28th of last month showed both candidates tied at 40% support each.
Toward the end of the campaign, Raman became embroiled in controversy surrounding her claims regarding LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell and her relationship with the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). Bass has also faced evaluations of her municipal governance, including wildfire response, homelessness, and worsening finances.
The next mayor will need to resolve major issues such as the housing crisis, homelessness, budget deficits, and preparations for the 2028 Olympics.
The outcome of the LA City sales tax increase ordinance FD is also drawing attention. Aimed at securing funding for the Fire Department, the measure raises the sales tax from 10.25% to 10.75%, which would secure approximately $345 million in additional tax revenue annually if passed. The firefighters union supports the measure, while police unions and others oppose it due to the tax burden.
Meanwhile, while Democrats maintain an advantage in California, voter economic dissatisfaction remains high. A recent poll by the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) showed Democrats leading Republicans by a wide margin in both the gubernatorial and federal House elections. However, 59% of residents stated California is heading in the wrong direction, and 77% expect economic conditions to worsen over the coming year.
