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AI job displacement β€” Bill Gates Warns of 20-Year Turmoil

AI job displacement
Microsoft founder Bill Gates. Reuters=Yonhap News

Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates has warned that AI job displacement will eventually replace nearly all human roles, predicting that the next two decades will be the most turbulent period in human history.

Speaking with The Observer, a sister publication of the UK Guardian, Gates described artificial intelligence as an ‘evolutionary event.’ He noted that just as humans evolved from monkeys, the rise of AI marks a fundamental shift to a new stage of life on Earth.

‘The definition of the smartest entity is being redefined,’ Gates explained, emphasizing that humans are no longer the most intelligent beings on the planet and that AI is taking over that position.

The End of Human Superiority in Coding and Math

While acknowledging that AI will create a golden age for mathematicians over the next five years, Gates predicted that within 20 years, AI will surpass humans in mathematics, biology, and engineering design. He stressed that humanity is currently at a deeply dramatic historical juncture.

Even Gates, a pioneer of the tech industry, admitted that he has already been left behind by artificial intelligence. Reflecting on his own background, he shared that around the end of last year, he realized his coding skillsβ€”which he had been obsessed with since age 13β€”had essentially become obsolete. He bluntly stated that humans can no longer claim to be the world’s best programmers.

Labor Replacement and the Threat of Mass Unemployment

Looking ahead at the labor market, Gates forecasted that AI-driven humanoids will eventually take over almost every functional role in society, warning of the difficult predicament awaiting displaced workers.

Appearing on the Decoder podcast, Gates reiterated that while AI will generate true abundance, the upcoming 20-year transition period will cause severe disruption. He expressed deep concern over a future marked by clear winners and losers, noting that in the long run, human labor will no longer be necessary for the vast majority of goods and services.

Preserving Unique Human Domains

Despite the gloomy outlook for traditional labor, Gates suggested that activities such as art, sports, cooking, and childcare could remain uniquely human domains. He urged policymakers to begin preparing strategies to handle the massive societal shifts ahead.